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Pandora's Box 2: Belarus and Lukashenko, Russia and Putin, Joint Troops Proposal, Ukraine in Consideration

Posted by HCN on Wednesday, October 12, 2022

Published 10 (Oct)/11/2022 late evening EST
It is as if what might be a rapidly snowballing escalation in developments almost replays what Russia underwent upon orders to invade Ukraine. From what the media tells most of the public, not everybody in Russia liked the order, which many fingers point to Putin as responsible for it.

Belarus may be undergoing almost a duplicate, while also perhaps a proxy, a junior, a potentially and augment to the mission of Russia invading Ukraine with the rationale for it.

Lukashenko has evidently announced within the past few days a joint troops with Russia to come into being. Is it all directly applied to aggression on Ukraine? Ukraine, NATO the forefront of stated concerns, the forefront, only the concerns.. and theory in that vein contemplations, in the news now.

Certain simplistic battle line scenarios and questions like that await to be answered. Of course Belarus is its own country, so its own unique facets and dimensions. There may even be bits of irony in that relations between Belarus and Russia may have some give and take that may have involved some lack of perfectly smooth interweaving amidst proposals for certain kinds of unions between the two.

Not to be a fortune teller, but it is probable that not everyone in Belarus is going to be 100% comfortable with going forward with a joint troops activity especially that would involve Belarus soldiers on the ground in Ukraine carrying out military fighting. For the sake of peace, maybe that far-fetched imagery will not materialize in the form of WWI WWII style activity; some suspense may be here.

Salient contrast: US President is or recently was on the referent 'cannot visit Russia list', whereat, Lukashenko visited Putin last week.

Thus far, perhaps up to a certain threshold in the developments right through here, the US and Belarus have basically had positive relations; where on the scale of tenuous to full, not gone into here. A relation jeopardized now?, a very steep investigation into the reasoning of Lukashenko to make his joint troops proposition is likely bound.

Geographically, Ukraine borders with Belarus, and Russia. North, east, southeast, if you wish to see it in that manner. Land, the remaining angles with exception to the waters south. Ukraine borders with other nations besides these as well. 

Belarus continuance to thrive and function, such as economically, how will that be in terms of methodology?

Belarus set in a position, such as the innate geographic positioning, to have some impact on the current Russia Ukraine tensions, has been going on longer than just the past couple of days. However, with joint troops possibility becoming more a stark reality as it could affect the dynamics of conflict in the region, eyebrows may be getting raised not just once, but twice; how does the US react to when a nation with good relations is on the side of a development turned against, moreover, what is it really, that is going on in the region?, perhaps something underneath it all not clear yet, maybe a danger exists or a presence exists in the Ukraine-Russia-Belarus region that is more serious that fully understood by popular media as we speak but could become exposed.



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